He'd be the first Cardinal to reach 20 wins since teammate and mentor Chris Carpenter did so in 2005 -- coincidentally, that's also the year that Carpenter won the Cy Young.
His last time out, on Wednesday, Wainwright dominated the Brewers en route to win No. 18 on the season. It marked the fourth consecutive start in which he was credited with the W, and the 13th time in his past 16 decisions.
Wainwright is coming on, regardless of what the win total says. But there's no denying that the win total is a pretty nice one. Wainwright leads the Majors in the category, and on Tuesday against Florida, he'll go for No. 19.
"That's definitely a cool number," he grinned after picking up his 18th.
Wins have, rightly, lost some of their shimmer in recent years. Baseball analysis has made it very clear that a won-lost record is not a good way to evaluate a pitcher's ability. Nonetheless, to pitchers themselves, the number is an important one. To Wainwright, the even bigger number is his team's record when he pitches -- and, by the way, it's pretty good. The Redbirds have gone 22-8 when their young ace takes the mound.
As a result, he may also be closing in on another kind of individual recognition: the Cy Young. Carpenter, of course, has won one, and he's one of Wainwright's top challengers. So is San Francisco dervish Tim Lincecum. But that win total could secure it for Wainwright. Rightly or wrongly, the voters are extremely likely to reward him if he stands three or four wins clear of the rest of the league when the season ends.
"It would be cool," he admitted. "It would be awesome to win that. But winning for the team comes first. If I could get another ring, of course I would rather do that. But you win an award like that, it [means that] all the hard work that you've done going into the season and during the season, the adjustments you made during the season, it's paying off. Whether I win it or not, I still feel pretty good about my season."
He ought to. It's been an excellent one. He recently crossed the 200-inning mark for the second time in his career. His 2.59 ERA would be the lowest of his career, significantly better than even the year he spent in relief (2006). He's obliterated his personal mark in strikeouts, with 175. He is, simply, an elite pitcher.
Even the one number that might be used against him doesn't tell the whole story.
"Those seven losses," said manager Tony La Russa, "are very misleading."